First frost looming
The first frost of the season could reach the higher elevations of our area Thursday night.
Meanwhile, any potential fallout from Hurricane Ian only figures to result in low amounts of rainfall by the end of the weekend.
The average first freeze typically occurs the first week of October, while the first frost can come before that, according to Alex DaSilva, a meteorologist with AccuWeather.
“The better shot (for first frost) would be tomorrow (Thursday night),” said DaSilva, who added low temperatures tonight are expected to be in the mid-40s. “Tomorrow night will be a little bit cooler, with the low around 40, and near the mid-30s in the Poconos.”
As a result, DaSilva said he foresees only about a “10% chance of crop damage” Thursday night.
From there, he said we’ll see a warm-up, with daytime highs Friday through Monday in the low to mid-60s, with weekend lows in the upper 40s to possibly low-50s.
DaSilva noted that Hurricane Ian is currently at a high-end Category 4, and is expected to cross the Florida Peninsula over the next couple of days.
From there, he said it will probably emerge off the southeast coast of Georgia, and move into Georgia probably by late Friday night into Saturday.
At that point, DaSilva said some moisture will try to come in the Mid-Atlantic, but due to the dryness, it should prevent a lot of moisture from getting far up north.
He said Sunday night into Monday would be the best shot for rainfall, as the majority will likely stay south across the Mid-Atlantic.
“I think we’ll see a little rain, less than a quarter of an inch,” DaSilva said. “We’re not going to deal with any kind of major flooding across the area; just too much dry air.”
Looking ahead, he said the next possible cold shot - and chance for potential frost - could come by the end of next week.