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Don't be fooled by warm temperatures

Published December 04. 2013 05:00PM

It may feel like the beginning of spring now with temperatures rising to near 60 on Thursday, but don't get used to it.

Jack Frost has other plans for his first wintry blast of the season.

According to various weather services, conflicting reports cite the possibilities of a number of winter storms moving through Pennsylvania over the next week.

The National Weather Service says rain will move into the area Thursday and stick around until Friday night before possibly changing over to sleet and mixing and changing over to snow early Saturday before ending that morning. No significant accumulation is expected.

The Weather Channel agrees that rain will occur Thursday night through Friday, but does not report snow mixing in.

AccuWeather goes into more detail, stating that the storm moving through the area will cause headaches in the form of icy conditions for a large portion of the states, stretching from Texas to central Pennsylvania.

There is a potential for slippery travel conditions and possible power outages in a number of states, AccuWeather reports.

However a "wedge of warm air will hold over the southeastern United States and will extend northward to the I-95 Northeast this week. The warmth is forecast to outlast the precipitation in this area so that rain falls from Houston to Atlanta and in the corridor from Raleigh, N.C., to Philadelphia, New York City and Boston.

"However, at the tail end of the rain, a brief period of freezing rain, sleet and/or snow is possible in Shreveport, La.; Memphis, Tenn.; London, Ky.; Charleston, W.Va.; and Scranton," AccuWeather says.

WNEP meteorologist Joe Snedeker concurs that a minor rain to snow event will occur Friday night, with showers moving into the area Thursday and becoming steadier on Friday before temperatures take a nosedive. The rain will taper off late Friday in the form of some wet snow; and a cold day Saturday will be mostly dry.

Even more interesting

But the end of the weekend outlook, as well as the beginning of next week is where the weather reports get interesting.

According to the National Weather Service, Sunday will bring a 50 percent chance of snow during the day and a 60 percent chance of snow, freezing rain and sleet Sunday night into Monday.

Temperatures will rise to near 41 throughout the day Monday as precipitation continues in the form of rain and snow and continue Monday night before pulling away from the area.

The Weather Channel states that there will be a 50 percent chance of snow showers on Sunday with a 40 percent chance of rain showers on Monday and a few lingering snow showers remaining Tuesday.

AccuWeather states that there will be snow, sleet and freezing rain Sunday evening with an ice storm late Sunday night.

The Tamaqua Weatherman, aka Ryan Fannock, who has a strong following on Facebook, stated that he would post a forecast later in the week.

What he did post Tuesday was "There is a storm Friday that will transition from rain to snow. Second, there is a possible storm Sunday into Monday. Thirdly, there is another possible wintry storm beyond that time frame."

Carbon County Weather Authority, operated by Rob Heckman, also has a large following on Facebook.

He reported early Wednesday that the Euro model is showing "a good snowfall here in Carbon County" in the amount of six to 12 inches on Sunday through Monday; and added that the area could see between a dusting and four inches of snow, depending on location, Friday into Saturday.

Snedeker states that "Sunday starts getting exciting again as another system arrives from the Southwest in a warm jet stream flow."

The problem, he reports, is that the colder air from Saturday will still be in place over Pennsylvania as the storm system approaches, making the start of the storm a snow/ sleet mix on Sunday afternoon before turning to rain Monday and then changing again back to snow showers Monday night.

The only thing that everyone is agreeing on is that some form of wintry precipitation will fall this weekend. What type and how much has yet to be determined.

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